Wednesday, February 27, 2008

LH to invest B4.6bn

The country's largest developer Land & Houses Plc (LH) is more confident in the country's economic and political situation and plans to increase investment this year to 4.6 billion baht, according to senior executive vice-president Adisorn Thananan-narapool.

He said the new investment reflected the company's view that the political situation was clearer and that consumer confidence was improving.

The company expected a recovery in residential demand from now onwards and would spend four billion baht to acquire new land for housing development in 2009-10, up from three billion in 2007.

''We should buy more plots of land,'' he said. ''The property market is accelerating and the new government announced megaproject plans that will open new areas for commercial and residential development.''

The company also said that land prices had stabilised because fewer housing developments were launched last year and lenders had become more strict in approving finance for developers and mortgages for buyers.

The main source of investment in the new land will be working capital. However, LH might issue warrants due to falling interest rates. Last year it issued two billion baht in warrants from a total of five billion baht approved by the board.

With an attempt to cap construction costs that rose 8%, the company stocked thousands of tons of steel, sanitaryware, tiles and cement sufficient for six months of development this year. It would increase unit prices by 2-3% within the year, he said.

LH plans to launch 14 housing projects worth 12 billion baht in 2008. They would be two pre-built condominiums, five townhouse projects and seven single-housing estates.

The company expects to earn 21 billion baht by the end of the year, up 13% from 2007. Major revenue would be from single-housing sales, accounting for 85% while net profit would also increase from 16.9% of total revenue.

Mr Adisorn said the company expected its gross profit margin to pick up slightly this year from 30.5% in 2007 to 31%.

''Margins this year will improve as our spending for marketing and advertising campaigns will decrease,'' he said.LH would also spend 500-600 million baht to raise funds for L&H Property Ltd, a joint venture with the Singaporean Government. LH would hold 60% while the Singapore Investment Corporation (GIC Real Estate Pte) would hold 40%.

The subsidiary needed an investment of five billion baht within three years to develop a project on a 10-rai site at the Asok-Sukhumvit junction, which would comprise of 500-600 serviced apartment units and retail space of about 30,000 square metres.

L&H Property has two projects in hand including L&H Villa Sathorn Bangkok, single houses for rent at rates between 100,000 and 200,000 baht a month, and Grand Centre Point Hotel & Residence Ratchadamri with 500 rooms at 8,000 baht a night.

LH shares closed yesterday on the SET at 8.50 baht, down 0.15 baht, in trade worth 221.2 million baht.

KANANA KATHARANGSIPORN

Buying Luxury Condominiums (Bangkok)

Bangkok's luxury condo minium market will become more active this year and the new supply will continue to be limited, according to leading international property consultants CB Richard Ellis.

Bangkok, Thailand (PRWEB) February 27, 2008 -- Bangkok's luxury condominium market will become more active this year and the new supply will continue to be limited, according to leading international property consultants CB Richard Ellis.

The high-end and luxury markets, which faced a slight slowdown in 2007 mainly due to the low market sentiment, will become more active in 2008. Last year, the main focus in the Bangkok condominium market was in the mid-range market where projects are located close to the skytrain or other mass transit system. This segment will continue to grow and become more competitive.

Investors are aware that freehold land plots in prime central locations are very limited and the increase in land prices has resulted in a drop in the new supply of luxury units in these areas, whereas demand for downtown city living is growing. Prices of downtown condominiums have continued to rise since the market recovery in 2003, at an average of 10-12% per annum for new projects.

According to Ms. Aliwassa Pathnadabutr, Managing Director of CB Richard Ellis, "We have found that, with the rising construction and land costs in downtown areas, it will be difficult to develop new freehold high-rise condominiums to sell at prices below Baht 100,000 per square metre in prime locations such as upper Silom, Sathorn (a radius of 1 km from Lumpini Park towards Silom and Sathorn Road), inner Wireless Road, Sarasin Road, Rajdamri Road, Langsuan, and Ploenchit Roads, as well as Sukhumvit Road up to Thonglor in good neighbourhoods near skytrain stations. Lumpini Park is seen as the centre of the prime Central Business District (CBD) of Bangkok, an area covering a radius of 1 km from the park and is one of the most sought-after locations where good freehold land is scarce.
Prices of newly launched high-end and luxury condominiums in these areas range from Baht 100,000 to Baht 178,000 per square metre, depending on product and location. Most of these newly launched projects have sold over 60% of their units in 2007 and include such developments as Hansar Rajdamri. The prices of units at the Athenee Residence, a newly completed condominium project on Wireless Road, have appreciated by over 40% in the 3 years since the project's launch in 2004.

In December 2007, the Sukhothai Residences, developed by HKR International, set a new price record for the Bangkok condominium market by achieving Baht 220,000 per square metre for its typical units and Baht 343,000 baht per square metre for one of its penthouses. The project's success in selling over 90 units or 50% of the total saleable area at these record prices in one month indicates that demand for luxury properties is still strong from both Thai and overseas buyers.

CB Richard Ellis Research team has re-categorized the condominium market in the downtown area into 6 different segments by price, including the super luxury segment with prices of over Baht 180,000 per square metre, the luxury segment priced at Baht 130,000 - 180,000 per square metre, the high-end segment priced at Baht 100,000 - 130,000 per square metre, the upper middle segment priced at between Baht 80,000 - 100,000 per square metre, the mid-range segment priced at between Baht 60,000- 80,000 per square metre, and the economy segment priced at below Baht 60,000 per square metre.

The market for the luxury supply has become much more sophisticated in terms of target buyers' requirements. Developers will therefore face more challenges and more intense competition than in the mid-range market. The critical factors in developing in luxury and super luxury condominiums lie in selecting the right location, design, unit mixes and product that must be acceptable to the target purchasers.

"Investment in new luxury condominiums in prime CBD locations has generated an average of 4- 5% yield per annum during the past 4 years and 10-12% price appreciation per annum which is pretty good compared with other forms of investment. Another underlying benefit in investing in residential properties is its potential for future use," said Ms. Aliwassa.

CB Richard Ellis found that demand from foreign purchasers has been increasing during the past 3 years. The average percentage of foreign buyers of downtown condominiums as of Q4 2007 stood at 32% whereas the percentage of foreign buyers was less than 20% on average in the last decade.

The quota for foreign ownership in some condominiums has reached its 49% limit. That means foreigners are no longer able to purchase units in those buildings unless they buy a unit from a foreign owner. This makes units owned by foreigners more valuable in those buildings popular among foreigners. CB Richard Ellis is now seeing the beginning of two-tier pricing for Thai and foreigners in those projects which foreign quota is reached.

Foreign investors have started to note this trend and are looking to invest more in good quality and well-designed buildings that are located in prime CBD locations despite the skyrocketing prices.

Another reason that boosts condominium prices in downtown Bangkok among foreign investors and end-users is their affordable price levels. For example, with a budget of US$ 500,000 or around Baht 15 million, you could purchase a luxury two-bedroom unit with 90-120 square metres in a prime CBD location in Bangkok.

To buy a similar product in a prime central location in other cities like Singapore or Hong Kong, you would have to allow for a budget in the region of Baht 50 - 80 million.

This comparison shows that Bangkok has a wider market base as there are a large number of individual investors in the region with this budget who are interested in real estate investment.

Despite the world property market facing difficult times, Bangkok condominiums, in both downtown areas and along the skytrain routes, are still in demand.

"We do not see price increases at the same rate for non-prime locations in Bangkok as there is plenty of land available for development. The upper-middle, mid range and economy markets will be more competitive in terms of pricing, whereas the key success factor in the luxury market is product quality, design and unit mixes which must match requirements of the target market. Market sentiment is another key factor in driving the high-end and luxury markets," concluded Ms. Aliwassa.

MJD sales up 37.3%


The luxury condominium developer Major Development Plc (MJD) reported 37.3% growth in revenue to 2.198 billion baht last year, with net profit rising 7.4% to 279.72 million baht.


CEO Suriyon Poolvoralaks said the performance was satisfactory despite the sluggish property market, rising construction costs and political uncertainty last year. Net profit per share was 0.54 baht and the company will pay a dividend at 0.25 baht per share on April 29.

This year it plans three new projects worth almost 10 billion baht. The first is a super-luxury condominium worth more than three billion baht in Sukhumvit 31, in a joint development with AIG Global Real Estate Investment.

The second is a 3.3-billion-baht highrise on Jomtien beach of Pattaya and the third is a low-rise project worth three billion baht in Hua Hin.

MJD shares
closed yesterday on the SET at 3.88 baht, up 12 satang, in trade worth 53 million baht.

New luxury resort in Phuket

Outrigger Enterprises Group announced today that it has been selected to manage a new luxury 400-room full service hotel in an exciting new, mixed use resort being built on the island of Phuket in Thailand. The resort, located on Mai Khao Beach along the unspoiled northwest coast of Phuket, will be called the West Sands Resort, Phuket and will feature the new West Sands Outrigger Resort, Phuket hotel, 98 villas and 336 condominiums, along with stand-alone restaurants and a world class water park. City Developments Limited, whose principals include Sir Terry Leahy, a former European Business Leader of the year, and Paul Mercer, well-known developer and president of Central City Developments, is the developer of West Sands, which is the first in a series of lifestyle resorts to be developed by Central & City Developments."This is an exciting opportunity for Outrigger," said David Carey, president and CEO of Outrigger Enterprises Group. "We've had our sights set on Thailand -- Phuket in particular -- for some time now; and we're thrilled to be associated with such a prestigious project and a team of experienced developers known for their high standards and quality projects."

"West Sands offers a superb environment, unmatched anywhere else on Phuket in terms of both property and environment," said Sir Terry Leahy, principal shareholder of Central & City Developments. "We're pleased to have Outrigger as the manager of the hotel at West Sands and look forward to a successful project backed by Outrigger's exemplary reputation and expertise, global strategy, cutting edge technology and proven customer service."

Work is already underway on the West Sands project, with the first 140 villa and condominium units set for completion by the fall of 2008. The West Sands Outrigger Resort hotel facility is part of phase two of the project and is slated to open by end of 2009. Resort amenities will include Phuket's first water park, a beach club, private clubhouse, fitness center, tennis courts, a holistic fusion spa, as well as a selection of retail shops and restaurants.

Condominium units will be located in five-story buildings set amidst their own free-form swimming pools. The one-, two- and three-bedroom apartments will feature large balconies, high ceilings, fully equipped kitchens and luxurious bathrooms. Ground floor units will have their own gardens with private access.

The most luxurious of accommodations will be the Beach, Sea View and Lake View Villas -- large apartment units offering spacious living and dining areas, each with its own Jacuzzi, swimming pool and maid's quarters.

According to Sir Terry, a unique aspect of West Sands is its commitment to being environmentally friendly. "What makes West Sands so remarkable is its emphasis on harmonious living. Luxurious, yes, with exclusive leisure facilities throughout; but the development also has been made as environmentally friendly as possible. Solar energy, superior insulation, biodegradable refuse plants, hydrothermic air-conditioning and hot water systems - all have been carefully planned for the least ecological impact while at the same time maximizing a quality experience."

Although not yet complete, West Sands has already begun garnering recognition for its commitment to being environmentally friendly. On December 1, 2007, West Sands was recognized with the Lighthouse Club Green Development Award at the prestigious 2007 Thailand Property Awards ceremony in Bangkok, Thailand. For additional information on this award, log on to www.thailandpropertyawards.com

Phuket is one of Asia's most popular beach destinations, offering an unbeatable combination of soft, white sand beaches and superb hospitality. It is consistently voted among the world's favorite island destinations in the prestigious Travel + Leisure magazine's annual survey, ranking number eight in 2007. Set in the Andaman Sea off the southwestern coast of Thailand, Phuket is connected to the mainland by a causeway allowing easy road access. The island is serviced by the Phuket International Airport, which is the second busiest passenger airport in Thailand, behind only Bangkok's Suvarnabhumi Airport. Since the early 1980s, tourism has been Phuket's main economic driver. Whether it is world class diving in the Andaman Sea, golf at world-standard championship courses or exciting eco-adventures in tropical forests, Phuket is a favorite visitor destination.

"West Sands is Outrigger's first venture into Thailand, but it certainly won't be our only venture," said Mr. Carey. "We're looking forward to gaining a significant presence within Asia over the next few years. With two projects presently underway in Bali, we are currently looking at other potential projects in Thailand, Vietnam and Hainan Island, China. Outrigger brings a strong reputation and more than 60 years of experience in hospitality management and development to the table, and we look forward to establishing Outrigger's presence in other areas of the Asia-Pacific region.

TCC Capital Land - Sukhumvit Bangkok

Luxury developer joins budget-condo fray TCC Capital Land, part of the TCC Group of liquor tycoon Charoen Sirivadhanabhakdi, has joined the developers wooing middle-class buyers with the launch of S&S Sukhumvit on Sukhumvit 101/1.

The 1.8-billion-baht project will be developed by S&S Residential Ltd under the eco-living concept featuring over 4,000 square metres of natural greenery and recreational spaces.

The site’s 22- and 18-storey buildings will house 810 units with sizes between 29 and 69 sq m and prices starting from 1.28 million baht.

Chen Lian Pang, S&S Residential’s CEO, said the company’s surveys on consumer needs and behaviour showed that key factors in decisions to buy properties had changed dramatically.

Purchasers today consider privacy, transport convenience, distinctive designs and functionality to answer all needs. Therefore, S&S Residential, short for Sustainability and Sufficiency, was created to develop projects under the eco-living concept.

S&S Sukhumvit focuses on mid-range quality condominium units with creative design for the mass market. It features environmentally friendly functions to help conserve electricity and water, as well as promote recycling.

ING targeted 11% return

ING to begin sale of property fund with targeted 11% return
ING Funds said yesterday that initial sales for its new 1.9-billion-baht property fund would begin from March 3-11.

The first investment for the Quality Hospitality Property Fund (QHOP) will be the 18-year-old Amari Boulevard Hotel in Bangkok.

The property fund will purchase the hotel’s leasehold rights under a threeyear sublease with an option to renew up to nine times.

Maris Tarab, the managing director of ING Funds, said the minimum investment would be 2,000 baht for the new fund, which has a dividend policy of 90% of net profits and a projected average internal rate of return of 11.01% per year.

Mr Maris said funds raised from the asset sale would be used to renovate the Amari Boulevard Hotel and also to retire outstanding debt.

ING projects that rental income would generate at least 125 million baht per year for the fund.

The hotel reported total revenues of 362 million baht last year.

Quality Inn, the hotel ownership company held by the Narula family, has guaranteed minimum rental income of 173 million baht per year for the first two years for the fund and 163 million baht over the following three years.

The 305-room Amari Boulevard is located on two rai on Sukhumvit Soi 5. Average occupancy rate is 75%, with daily rack rates expected to reach 3,954 baht per room next year from 3,695 baht in 2007.

The Narula family, which also owns the Sheraton Grande Sukhumvit hotel, is expected to eventually add the fivestar hotel to the QHOP fund, which could eventually grow to eight billion baht in total capital.

Sources said that the expansion programme would depend on QHOP’s success and if the government scraps existing capital controls on foreign inflows into property funds.

TMB is the sales agent and underwriter for the fund offering.

Tuesday, February 26, 2008

Markets in review.

ANNUAL HOUSE PRICE CHANGE (%), IN LOCAL CURRENCY TERMS


2007* (LATEST) END-2006
Bulgaria 30.59 --
China (Shanghai) 27.85 -0.61
Singapore 27.59 10.15
Estonia (Tallinn) 23.38 28.64
Lithuania 13.64 30.95
Philippines 13.04 9.63
Colombia 12.82 6.77
South Africa 12.52 15.12
Norway 11.56 16.67
Hong Kong 11.25 4.11
Australia 10.63 9.71
Latvia 10.22 68.99
Sweden 9.86 10.50
UK 9.68 10.49
South Korea 9.01 11.60
Poland 8.38 9.67
France (Paris) 8.27 9.70
Japan (6 cities) 7.75 4.12
New Zealand 6.67 11.86
Canada 6.13 10.74
Finland 5.88 6.56
Italy 5.60 6.30
Spain 5.31 9.14
Indonesia 5.24 6.60
Greece 4.18 10.54
Denmark 3.95 14.94
Netherlands 3.77 4.73
Malaysia 3.20 4.80
Switzerland 2.56 3.24
Germany 2.04 3.06
Portugal 0.49 0.65
Israel -0.51 -3.16
Thailand -0.78 1.87
Japan -1.48 -2.78
Ireland (monthly) -4.68 11.8
US (NAR) -5.07 -0.18
US (FHFB) -3.49 -1.9
US (OFHEO) 1.79 6.03
* latest available
Source: various series, list of house prices, data and sources here

In 2007, the US housing market crashed, and Europe’s housing markets slowed. But house prices in Asia-Pacific gained momentum.

Shanghai’s red hot housing market continued to rebound, despite efforts by the government to cool the market. House prices rose by 27.85% to end-Oct 2007 from a year earlier; a significant turnaround from 0.6% drop in 2006.

Singapore registered an annual house price increase of 27.6% (24% in real terms) to end-Q3 2007, significantly higher than the 7.6% price increase over the same period in 2006. In real terms, Singapore was the world’s best-performing housing market, given inflation of only 2.66%.

House prices rose by more than 10% year on year (y-o-y) in nominal terms in several developing countries - the Philippines, Colombia, South Africa, and Hong Kong. However, when adjusted for inflation, price increases were generally substantially lower

Urban land prices in Japan’s six largest cities rose by 7.75% during the first half of 2007. Although Japan’s national urban land price index fell by 1.48% during 1H 2007, this is an improvement from the 2.8% price fall in 2006. The Japanese urban land price index is generally believed to lag reality, so significant recovery is taking place in the Japanese housing market.

ANNUAL HOUSE PRICE CHANGE 2007* (%), ADJUSTED FOR INFLATION


INFLATION-ADJUSTED NOMINAL
Singapore 24.29 27.59
China (Shanghai) 20.04 27.85
Bulgaria 15.42 30.59
Estonia (Tallinn) 15.08 23.38
Norway 11.93 11.56
Lithuania 11.43 13.64
Philippines 9.88 13.04
Hong Kong 9.44 11.25
Australia 8.60 10.63
Sweden 7.86 9.86
Japan (6 cities) 7.86 7.75
UK 7.49 9.68
France (Paris) 7.01 8.27
South Korea 6.53 9.01
Colombia 6.40 12.82
Poland 5.81 8.38
New Zealand 4.59 6.67
South Africa 3.77 12.52
Canada 3.66 6.13
Finland 3.29 5.88
Spain 2.88 5.31
Netherlands 2.44 3.77
Denmark 2.29 3.95
Italy 2.08 5.6
Switzerland 1.91 2.56
Malaysia 1.73 3.2
Greece 1.54 4.18
Germany -0.40 2.04
Latvia -1.02 10.22
Indonesia -1.18 5.24
Japan -1.38 -1.48
Portugal -1.68 0.49
Israel -1.86 -0.51
Thailand -2.81 -0.78
Ireland -9.08 -4.68
US (NAR) -8.46 -5.07
US (FHFB) -6.79 -3.49
US (OFHEO) -0.56 1.79
* latest available
Source: various series, list of house prices, data and sources here

The US housing market continues to weaken.

Asia

Housing markets in several Asian countries gained momentum during the first three quarters of 2007, reflecting to some extent continued recovery from the 1997 Asian Crisis.

The strong house price increases in Singapore, South Korea, and Japan have been mainly due to strong economic growth. Mortgage markets in Asia are generally underdeveloped. Hence the effect of interest rate movements on the housing market is indirect, channeled through over-all economic performance. With electronic goods as the main export of these countries, economic growth is expected to drop if the global economic recession occurs in 2008.

In the Philippines, demand for houses and condominiums has come mainly from families of Overseas Filipinos.

Price increases in China are subject to strong government intervention. Left unhampered, property prices would be expected to rise due to continued economic expansion and rapid urbanization. Adding fuel to the price boom are the Beijing Olympics in 2008 and World Expo in 2010 in Shanghai.

In Thailand, political problems have led to weak economic growth and falling property prices. Property price changes in Indonesia and Malaysia remain unimpressive. Although the national house price index in Indonesia was up 5.2% in nominal terms to end Q-3 2007, the index actually dipped by 1.2% in when adjusted to inflation. In Malaysia, the house price index rose 3.2% (1.7% in real terms) to Q2-2007 from a year earlier.

THE GLOBAL PROPERTY GUIDE’S FORECASTS FOR 2008:

Asia-Pacific

Property prices in much of Asia are still undervalued compared to pre-Asian crisis levels, despite strong increases in 2007.

China is unfortunately not open to investment, and non-resident foreign buyers of dwellings are no longer welcome (though developers still are). While Beijing’s property prices will probably peak in 2008 after the Olympics, Shanghai is still preparing for the World Expo in 2010. With yields at 8% Shanghai’s prices have nowhere to go but up, unless the government intensifies its intervention.

Cambodia could be a proxy for China. Strongly tied to the Chinese economy, Cambodia is open, has high yields, relatively low transaction costs and low taxes, though investors must be prepared for only an indirect acquisition of land due to constitutional limitations on foreign purchases.

The resolution of Thailand’s political crisis in 2008 could open opportunities, after two dismal years. Gross rental yields are good at 7%-8%, income taxes are relatively high but acceptable (compared to the Philippines), the market is pro-landlord. Under better management Thailand could do very well. Indonesia is attractive, but has problems as an investment destination - there are high yields in Jakarta, but very high transaction costs and high rental income taxes. The Philippines too has high yields, but similarly discouragingly high transaction costs and high rental income taxes.

Japan’s housing market is recovering strongly. While Tokyo’s gross rental yields are unattractive at around 4.7%, the price momentum is positive, the law is strongly pro-landlord, there are low-ish transaction costs, and low rental income tax. The recently announced tighter regulation of new dwellings could lead to faster property price appreciation.

In Singapore we believe gross rental yields are now too low, at 2% to 3%. Nevertheless, Singapore is attracting (and admitting) more foreign-born workers – which is positive for prices. Hong Kong’s yields are somewhat higher (around 3% to 5%), and the US$ peg will mean Hong Kong will follow lower US$ interest rates, which should boost the housing market. << Read More... >>