Sunday, May 4, 2008

Raimon Land views about market

RAIMON RAISING BT1.3 BN TO COMPLETE PROJECTS
Obtaining loans for property projects has been near impossible since the US sub-prime meltdown shook up global banking recently, but Thailand is one of the very few exceptions, Raimon Land CEO Nigel Cornick said yesterday.

“For many foreign buyers, Thai properties are still regarded as highly undervalued,” he said.

“As banks everywhere are taking a cautious stance with the US fallout, Raimon Land has decided to raise fresh funds from the stock market,” said Cornick.

The company will hold a rights issue of two old shares for one new one to raise Bt1.3 billion to complete half a dozen projects.

The firm goes ex-rights (XR) next Tuesday, but Cornick said the stock is now trading at a discount because of poor sentiment for the real-estate sector.

“We will use the cash to complete key sites such as the 11- rai River project on the Chao Phya River, overlooking the Shangri- La and Oriental hotels,” he said.

Its other prestigious site includes 185 Rajdamri, a 6- rai estate where the Cambodian embassy was formerly located, and Northpoint, a twin-tower project in North Pattaya.

Much of the capital raised in the current exercise will actually come from existing shareholders, Cornick noted, as Kuwait’s IFA Hotels and Dubai’s Istithmar Group each hold about 25 per cent of the firm

“Only about 20 per cent of the shares are freely floated,” he said.

Cornick expects the new rights to be fully subscribed, as the two Gulf state companies and major shareholders are ready to inject cash into what is widely regarded as Thailand’s premium property developer.

He expects the new shares to be a t t r a c t i v e , based on the results of two separate surveys the company recently c o n d u c t e d through independent agencies to establish its share value.

“ The estimates range from Bt1.70 to Bt1.90, which is higher than the current market price of about Bt0.90,” he said.

On a recent visit to Singapore, Cornick said a group there with US$300 million ( Bt9.5 billion) to invest had indicated to Raimon Land that it was keen to form ventures to develop projects in Thailand.

Echoing this sentiment is Ananda Development’s CEO Chanond Ruengkritya, who said its European partner Primeamerica and other funds all indicated they were keen to invest in Thailand as it could provide solid returns with minimal risk.

“ The general view of the global financial sector is that Thailand remains one of the few markets capable of delivering a decent return,” said Cornick. “ This is different from the grimmer picture in many Asian markets that have been reeling from a post-bubble implosion.”

Observers note that Thailand is in a very special position because, as a net food exporter, it is gaining from the run in commodity prices. This gives it a solid buffer at a time when Asian food importers are facing a crisis. Its economy is therefore seen as being able to weather the financial storm much better than those of pure service economies such as Hong Kong and Singapore.

Sheltering Raimon Land’s projects is its strict adherence to build only in the city centre and other prime locations.

Raimon Land marketing chief Henri Young said: “ The River continues to book Bt150 million worth of sales a week. More than half the project, estimated to be worth Bt12 billion, has been sold.”

Real estate is not the flavour for banks these days, said Cornick. But there is also the belief lightning does not strike the same place twice.

The 1997- 1998 stock and property crash was Thailand’s worst. Property only started to recover about six years ago. It is therefore not likely to see a repeat of the kind of housing crash that is now ripping through the US and other markets where property bubbles formed over the past few years.

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